Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of July?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 41¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on spacex's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which spacex comple — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX comple.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.