The market moved

-5.0ppin 24h · now 42¢

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July?

Business · resolves Jul 31 · vol $17.51

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on spacex's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which spacex comple — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX comple.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.