The market moved
-0.3ppin 24h · now 97¢
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · resolves Jun 28 · vol $100.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 97¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.