Will SPD get between 7% and 10% of the vote in the Czech election?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the popular vote share won by the listed party/coalition — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the popular vote share won by the listed Party/Coalition — https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.