Will SPD get more than 16% of the vote in the Czech election?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the popular vote share won by the listed party/coalition — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the popular vote share won by the listed Party/Coalition — https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.