The market moved

-2.5ppin 24h · now 47¢

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?

Entertainment · resolves Aug 16 · vol $2.8K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 47¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much "spider-man: brand new day" weekend box office will gross domestically on its third weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 40.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.