Will "Spider-Man: Homecoming" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on which movie this update ranks as the #2 us netflix movie — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 17.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.