The market moved

+2.5ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Macro · resolves Jul 1 · vol $347.80

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 10¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.