The market moved
-42.0ppin 24h · now 10¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?
Macro · resolves Sep 1 · vol $628.32
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 42.0pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.