The market moved
-20.5ppin 24h · now 29¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026?
Macro · resolves Jul 31 · vol $924.52
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 29¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 20.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.