Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $600M and $650M at market close on IPO day?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 45.5pp shift. Resolution depends on spyglass pharma’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: SpyGlass Pharma’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.