Will Standard Nuclear's market cap be between $4.5B and $5B at market close on IPO day?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.8pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 15.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.