The market moved

-11.5ppin 24h · now 39¢

Will Starmer say "Chancellor" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Politics · resolves May 6 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 39¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on parliament.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: parliament.uk — https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-11.5pp · Will Starmer say "Chancellor" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | Orrery