The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 31¢

Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?

Politics · resolves Jul 8 · vol $5.71

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 31¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on parliament.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: parliament.uk — https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.