The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Politics · resolves Jun 5 · vol $417.98
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on parliament.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: parliament.uk — https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 37.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.