The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 41¢

Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Politics · resolves May 6 · vol $30.27

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 41¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on parliament.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: parliament.uk — https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.