The market moved
-2.9ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.9pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.