The market moved

+0.3ppin 24h · now 98¢

Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Business · resolves Jun 30 · vol $273.43

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.3pp · Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Orrery