Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official closing price of the abbreviated session — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.