Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 86.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the official closing price of the abbreviated session — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.