The market moved
+2.1ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Politics · resolves Oct 3 · vol $4.4K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 7¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.