The market moved
-30.5ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $43B?
Geopolitics · resolves Jul 17 · vol $190.02
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 30.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.