The market moved

+46.9ppin 24h · now 98¢

Will Tarik Skubal's next team be Los Angeles Dodgers?

Sports · resolves Aug 4 · vol $371.01

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 46.9pp shift. Directional flow is consistent with new information being priced in; the underlying source isn't tagged in the market metadata.

What to verify

  • No resolution source was tagged in the market metadata — read the question text on Polymarket carefully before acting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 27.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.