The market moved
+39.0ppin 24h · now 61¢
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Entertainment · resolves Jul 4 · vol $582.67
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 61¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 39.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.