The market moved
-29.5ppin 24h · now 20¢
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Business · resolves Jun 30 · vol $40.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 29.5pp shift. Resolution depends on department of defense in the federal register or on its official website — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website — https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.