Will Terence Crawford win the award for Best Fighter at the 2026 ESPY Awards?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 24¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on espn.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: espn.com — https://www.espn.com/espys/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 12.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.