The market moved

-4.8ppin 24h · now

Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q4 2025

Business · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for q4 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2025 — https://ir.tesla.com/press.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.