The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now

Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Business · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for q1 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026 — https://ir.tesla.com/press.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.