The market moved

-4.5ppin 24h · now

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?

Culture · resolves Feb 24 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the length of time of donald trump's 2026 state of the union address — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.