The market moved
-5.5ppin 24h · now 27¢
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?
Crypto · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of economic — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Economic — https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.