The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 49¢

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?

Politics · resolves Oct 11 · vol $1.8K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 49¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.