The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022?
Science · resolves Mar 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on covid.cdc.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: covid.cdc.gov — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.