Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://eci.gov.in).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 4.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.