The market moved

-10.5ppin 24h · now 43¢

Will the announcers say "Blood," "Bloody," or "Bloodied" during McGregor vs Holloway?

Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $274.99

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 43¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the bout of mcgregor vs holloway, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee has definitive — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the bout of McGregor vs Holloway, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee has definitive — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 38.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.