The market moved
-9.5ppin 24h · now 25¢
Will the announcers say "Choke" during McGregor vs Holloway?
Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $21.25
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the bout of mcgregor vs holloway, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee has definitive — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the bout of McGregor vs Holloway, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee has definitive — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 39.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.