The market moved
-46.0ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the announcers say "Combination" or "Sequence" 5+ times during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?
Sports · resolves Jul 11 · vol $305.03
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 46.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the bout of benoit saint-denis vs paddy pimblett, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the refere — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the bout of Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the refere — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.