The market moved
-5.5ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will the announcers say "Goat" during McGregor vs Holloway?
Sports · resolves Jul 12 · vol $932.92
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the bout of mcgregor vs holloway, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee has definitive — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the bout of McGregor vs Holloway, beginning from the start of the first round and ending once the referee has definitive — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.