The market moved

+6.5ppin 24h · now 48¢

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Sports · resolves Jun 17 · vol $4.2K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 48¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 26.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.