The market moved
-26.5ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?
Sports · resolves Jul 2 · vol $45.9K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 26.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: disputed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin — https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "disputed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.