The market moved
-18.1ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
Sports · resolves Jun 26 · vol $1.4K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, includin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 5.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.