The market moved
+41.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 NYC mayoral election between 9:00 PM and 9:59 PM ET on Nov 4 2025?
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 41.4pp shift. Resolution depends on associated press — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Associated Press — https://apnews.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.