The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the Associated Press first call the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary before 10:00 AM ET on Aug 12, 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Aug 12 · vol $161.39
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://apnews.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.