The market moved
+3.0ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Macro · resolves Sep 4 · vol $2.3K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.