The market moved

-18.6ppin 24h · now

Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?

Other · resolves Jan 27 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.6pp shift. Resolution depends on bcb.gov.br — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: bcb.gov.br — https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.