The market moved

+1.4ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?

Other · resolves Jan 28 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on bankofcanada.ca — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: bankofcanada.ca — https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.