Will the Bank of Israel hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 27¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 23.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the bank of israel interest rate resulting from the august 2026 meeting of the bank of — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of — https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.