The market moved

-25.5ppin 24h · now 27¢

Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?

Geopolitics · resolves Aug 31 · vol $119.24

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 25.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in basis points in the bank of israel interest rate resulting from the august 2026 meeting of the bank of — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in basis points in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of — https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.