The market moved
+2.2ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the December meeting?
Other · resolves Dec 18 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on banxico.org.mx — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: banxico.org.mx — https://www.banxico.org.mx/monetary-policy/d/%7B0C35369C-BF8F-E5A8-7710-FD5A6716474F%7D.pdf.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.