Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the change in the key rate resulting from the bank of russia’s september meeting, relative to the level it was prior — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior — https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.