The market moved

-14.5ppin 24h · now 36¢

Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027?

Geopolitics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.